Welcome to the Action. Now Let’s Get You Up to Speed.
🗣️ “You Must Have New Customers…”
Someone recently commented, “You must have a bunch of new customers in… you’re in rare form with your morning messages.”
They were right.
Every football season brings a flood of new bettors into the mix—novices with dreams of turning a $1,000 bankroll into $100,000 by October. I’ve been there too. In high school in the ‘90s, I placed my first $20 bets thinking they’d lead to a steady income, a car, and all the luxuries a teenager could dream of.
Spoiler: That’s not how it works.
🪙 From Summer Vets to September Dreamers
From April through July, the only people subscribed to TSP Live are true degenerates—my people.
They:
- Celebrate wins 🎉
- Brush off losses 💨
- Understand this is a long-term game 🔄
But come football season?
Here come the wannabe millionaires, full of hope, hype, and unrealistic expectations.
I get it. But I’m here to give you the wake-up call I never got—and save you some pain along the way.
💊 The Harsh Reality: You’ve Been Sold the Sizzle, Not the Steak
Newbies enter TSP Live after seeing months of social media smoke:
- Stacks of cash 💵
- Oversized tickets 🧾
- Flamboyant touts screaming about “Locks of the Century” 🔒
You think, “If this clown is printing money, I can too!”
But here’s the problem: You’re only seeing the high. Not the side effects.
“Professional” bettors on TV? Some are degenerates hemorrhaging money behind the scenes.
I’ve got friends at sportsbooks who laugh when a talking head shows up on air—they’re known losers.
🧮 Math > Myth
Remember:
- DraftKings has an $18 BILLION market cap.
- That doesn’t happen because most people win.
Only 3–4% of gamblers qualify as long-term profitable professionals. Want to be one? You can—but it takes effort, discipline, and a complete mental reset.
🧠 Lesson #1: Learn the TSP Index
The TSP Index is the heartbeat of sharp/public performance.
It analyzes the daily ROI of all bets made by public vs. sharp-rated bettors across multiple books and leagues. Then, it produces a score from -5 to +5 to indicate who’s in control of the market.
- Above the moving average? Sharps have momentum.
- Below it? The public is cooking (temporarily, of course).
📍 Check it daily at:
TheSharpPlays.com/the-sharp-plays-index/
Don’t dismiss the Index just because you don’t understand it. Those who monitor it daily swear by its predictive accuracy.
🎯 Lesson #2: Don’t Bet Every Angle You See
Your first couple weeks as a new subscriber?
Only follow the TSP Portfolio. Period.
Why?
- It’s low risk, low volatility, high ROI
- Designed for new and experienced bettors alike
- Requires less than five minutes of attention per day
💡 Use the rest of your time to learn the tools:
- TSP Live Radar
- KB Consensus
- Book Needs
- Sharp Buy reports
- Group action indicators
📚 Explore the Education Hub:
tsp.live/education/
Eventually, you’ll understand what you want to add to your own strategy—or decide to stick with just the Portfolio (which is a solid decision in itself).
⚖️ The Three Rules of Advantage Betting
1️⃣ Don’t Chase or Press During a Cold Run
Yes, we all get tempted. Yes, I’ve chased.
But when you embrace the reality that hot runs always follow cold ones, you learn to ride it out.
The goal: Survive the ice so you can thrive in the heat.
2️⃣ Ditch Your Preconceived Notions
You can’t remove losses.
You can’t outsmart variance.
You can’t perfectly time the market.
Stop trying to be perfect. Be profitable instead.
3️⃣ Get Comfortable Losing (Because It Will Happen… A LOT)
I’ve lost over 50,000 bets in my life.
The secret? I’ve won more than I’ve lost.
Even in a “bad” month, like being down 0.66 units in September, I had people freaking out—despite a lifetime ROI of +17%.
📌 If you can’t handle a cold week, you’re not ready for the long haul.
🏆 The Portfolio: The Margot Robbie of Betting Content
Look, you’ve got Margot Robbie sitting in front of you—she’s yours.
Stop trying to make her sexier.
TSP Portfolio:
- +33.8 units lifetime
- Verified logs
- Best ROI in the industry
- 100% transparency
- Requires almost zero effort to follow
You can search for better, but you’ll come right back.
🏁 Final Word: Master the Simple, Then Build From There
There’s no magic formula. No loss-proof strategy.
Just a long grind, discipline, and understanding how to ride the waves.
You can become one of the 3–4% of long-term profitable bettors…
But you’ll need to ditch the hype, embrace the process, and put in some damn work.
🙋 Questions?
Reach out on Telegram: t.me/TheSharpPlays
Or use the Contact Form at TSP.Live
Welcome to the game. Now let’s get to work. 🧠🔥💵