TSP Education

**CLICK HERE to Return to the Sports Subscriber Dashboard**

The collection of articles below covers a variety of topics and strategies.

If there is a topic I do not discuss here, but you feel would be helpful, please submit it as a message to me by clicking here!

TSP Live Strategies & Education

  • TSP Live Education: Counter Buys, In-Play, 2nd Half Wagers & MORE! March 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT - On the morning of March 14 (2024), I released a wager in TSP Live on Xavier/UConn UNDER 149.5 for the TSP Live Portfolio. Shortly after the release, a counter buy hit on the OVER 149 and above. Counter buys tend to be strong angles to bet...betting with the late money…
  • TSP Live Education: New TSP Live Subscribers & A Refresher for the Veterans March 12, 2024 3:36 pm EDT - March Madness has brought in a variety of new followers to The Sharp Plays and subscribers to TSP Live...and with it...a lot of the old questions are popping up. Should I bet all the sharp buys? Should I only wager on the Algorithm Selections? Are the TSP Live or GFAW…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Edge Based on Straight Bet Win Percentage March 10, 2024 1:06 pm EDT - The first chart shows your chances of cashing the parlay size listed based on your straight bet win percentage. "SB Win %" stands for "Straight Bet Win Percentage". So, if you hit 50% of your straight bets, you have a 25% chance of cashing a two leg parlay. The second…
  • TSP Live Education: Round Robin Usage February 28, 2024 2:00 pm EST - I posted a page which includes an in-depth breakdown of the performance of the Go Fast and Win and TSP Live Degenerate Portfolios. Not only do I breakdown the ROI's overall and for the current year, but I also list the total wagers and break the action down by category…
  • TSP Live Education: Archived Angles 2023 February 16, 2024 4:15 pm EST - Once the Super Bowl is over, I schedule website updates...along with doing some clerical work like archiving records from previous years or content that it no longer in use. Today, the following rows have been removed and archived from the "Sports Content Records" link at TheSharpPlays.com (click "Records & Logs"…
  • TSP Live Education: 2023-2024 Football Season Recap February 12, 2024 3:24 pm EST - Good afternoon! Another football season comes to an end! When I look back on this past season, I see a lot of frustrating times...how many juicy parlays died on the last leg...on Sunday or Monday Night Football?!? Fucking Cowboys! How many bad beats or bad finishes did we get to…
  • TSP Live Education: Season in Review & Plans Post-Football Content January 23, 2024 6:15 pm EST - I posted the records (see below) this past week regarding the performance of the TSP Live analytics tables for the 2023-24 football season. At the time of this writing, we have three more games to go (AFC Championship, NFC Championship, Super Bowl). Once those games conclude I will update this…
  • TSP Education: Patience is a Virtue & The TSP Index January 10, 2024 2:00 pm EST - One of the hardest things for me to get people to understand when it comes to gambling is...no matter how good you are...there are going to be periods of losses. You are going to have cold streaks and periods when you can't pick the quinella in a two horse race.…
  • TSP Live PSA: Annual Content Changes After Football January 6, 2024 3:14 pm EST - Good afternoon, Each year as football content transitions to non-football content, there are changes within TSP Live. The goal of the changes is to allow TSP Live to adapt to the unique betting strategies for non-football sports compared to football content. During football, information and content for the weekend can…
  • TSP Live Education: Must Win Scenarios – Player Incentives January 5, 2024 2:14 pm EST - As we approach the end of the NFL season, we begin to hear about the "must win" situations for teams to get into the playoffs along with many player incentives that come into play in the final week. Let's first discuss the "must win" situations. The problem for gamblers is…
  • TSP Live Education: Why ROI Matters Most December 11, 2023 2:00 pm EST - Return on Investment ("ROI") is the most important metric for betting performance of an angle, model, strategy, or other content. Whether it is sports or some other form of gambling like poker. Why? ROI let's you know the return for every $1 that you put in action on that content/strategy.…
  • TSP Live Education: The Ultimate Guide To Using The Sharp Plays Content December 5, 2023 6:05 pm EST - Time to read: 20-22 minutesThere are going to be more than just a few people who "don't have 20 minutes" to read the following (you don't have to read it right now). These folks are just too lazy. It is that same laziness that will prevent them from being successful…
  • TSP Live Education: Degenerate Action and Mr. Miyagi – Serious Bettors Only! November 28, 2023 5:35 pm EST - Back in January 1st, 2023 I launched the "Degenerate Club Report". The report has since evolved into the Legal Pad and TSP Live Tables which offer the same content. One of the features of the initial Degenerate Club Report, which has continued in table format, is the Degenerate Portfolio. I…
  • TSP Live Education: “What Should I Bet?” November 25, 2023 4:15 pm EST - Of all the questions that I get about TSP Live, wagering, etc., the above is the question I get asked all the time..."What Should I Bet?" While it is the most common question, it is also the hardest for me to answer because every bettor is different. I hear from…
  • TSP Live Education: Why Bet Exotics (Parlays & Teasers)? November 22, 2023 4:16 pm EST - I am going to discuss parlays and teasers more when it comes to using them during cold runs. I do use parlays and teasers during hot runs, but that's pretty easy to understand...when it's hot...parlays and teasers will provide nice returns. However, when it is cold, why would they be…
  • TSP Live Education: What Are Rollovers & Why Use Them? November 22, 2023 2:45 pm EST - Rollovers are a name I just began using when I referred to a wager where you take the risk and profit from one bet and roll it onto another one. It's basically the leverage of a parlay but with the freedom of a straight bet. For more details I have…
  • TSP Live Education: Utilizing The Sharp Plays Index November 22, 2023 11:34 am EST - Part I (originally published on 5/12/23 as a TSP Live Insider article) My discussion much of this week was about knowing what type of market you are in…and betting accordingly. To quickly recap, I stated there are three types of betting market environments. I discussed these three betting environments using…
  • TSP Live Education: That’s too Chalky to be a Value…isn’t it?!?! November 22, 2023 11:30 am EST - The below originally appeared as a TSP Live Insider article on June 27th... I hear it all the time…”sharps don’t bet lines that high”…”or sharps would never bet a -300.” Both of these statements are completely false. There is no such thing as a line being too high that sharp…
  • TSP Live Education: Using My Parlay/Rollover Selections for Straight Bets November 22, 2023 11:28 am EST - Every football season there are always new people to the content, and many are unsure the best way to follow. So, I thought I would share one strategy that many veteran TSP Live users go with. It's simple, it tends to provide only 2-3 selections each game day and it…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Strategy (Keying Plays, Round Robins, Tolerance) November 22, 2023 11:26 am EST - Parlay strategy could honestly be a thesis, but it would get very boring with math and stats. So, I will touch on a couple quick items on parlays. First, you won't hear a lot of sharp bettors use parlays. They will cite the "sucker bet" nature of the bet and…
  • TSP Live Education: Line Moves (Good & Bad) November 22, 2023 11:25 am EST - So, you just placed a wager on Boston College -5 over Syracuse and now the line is -4. What do you do? Of course the answer is you immediately panic that sharp action hit Syracuse and that your wager is dead...and with it your life is over! You call the…
  • TSP Live Education: Stay Calm & Just Win Money! October 9, 2023 9:07 am EDT - Originally published on October 9th, 2023 as a TSP Live Insider article... One of the topics I wanted to discuss is something I did differently this football season, which you probably noticed in recent weekends. On Saturday's and Sunday's I have not covered tennis, soccer, MLB, UFC, etc. much since…

Good luck!!