TSP Education

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The articles below cover a variety of topics and strategies to enhance your betting knowledge.

For even more insights, be sure to check out:
đź“– The Articles Page at TheSharpPlays.com
🎙 The Sharp Plays Podcast at GoFastAndWin.com

Every Go Fast and Win (GFAW) podcast episode dives into gambling education—and the best part? Each episode is 5 minutes or less!

🎧 Available on all major podcast platforms.

If there’s a topic I haven’t covered here but you think would be helpful, feel free to send me a message by clicking here!

Strategies & Education

  • A TSP Year-End Mystery: “Why Did I Lose?” May 13, 2025 1:25 pm EDT - 🧠 A Year-End Mystery: "Why Did I Lose?" No matter how good the content does again for this year, I will undoubtedly hear from several people wondering how they managed to lose money during what will once again be a winning year for the TSP Portfolio and Hermes A.I. They…
  • TSP Insiders Updates – Part 1 May 3, 2025 11:38 am EDT - The following was originally posted in mid-April and is now being updated based on where things stand now and added to the 'Education' section on TSP.Live for future reference... TSP Insiders Purchases Moving to TSP.Live A new update is coming to streamline how you purchase selections from TSP Insiders, starting…
  • TSP Live Education: Hermes A.I. February 14, 2025 3:00 pm EST - Hermes The purpose of this article is to familiarize you with the Hermes program. I will discuss how Hermes was born, the future of the Hermes content (short-term and long-term), then discuss the issues of Hermes content. The goal is to bring readers up to speed on how we got…
  • TSP Live Education: WSJ Study on Gambler’s Optimism (Hint…It’s WAY Out of Whack!) February 11, 2025 3:46 pm EST - Great Article:  https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/sports-betting-study-5d9a0044 Here are the highlights... "A new study by Stanford University researchers finds that the average online sportsbook customer expects a gain of 0.3 cent for every dollar wagered. In reality, sports bettors lose an average of 7.5 cents per dollar wagered, reflecting 'widespread overoptimism about financial returns,'…
  • The First Steps On My Gambling Path… December 6, 2024 2:45 pm EST - I'm always asked how I got into sports betting. The first gambling memory I have goes to when I was very young. Based on the house we were living in at the time, I honestly had to be 6-8 years old. It's funny, the memories you retain from that age…
  • TSP Live Education: Return on Risk (ROR) versus Bankroll Return on Investment (ROI)…it’s a BIG Difference! November 21, 2024 1:35 pm EST - https://twitter.com/TheSharpPlays/status/1766233502167544124?s=20 Many people misunderstand betting ROI and ROR. Recently, I mentioned that the TSP Portfolio had an ROR of +5.6% for the football season. Some assume that means if you have a $10,000 bankroll, you made $560. That’s far from accurate. In professional gambling, two key return metrics define a…
  • TSP Live Education: Playing Public Regression November 12, 2024 6:00 pm EST - The public has epic runs all the time; it's just that their losing runs tend to be longer and more epic than any of their winning runs. However, from time to time, the public gets a BIG ONE! The "big ones" do not happen often though. The last "big one"…
  • What Qualifies You As a Professional Bettor? Here’s an Unbiased Assessment (ChatGPT) November 11, 2024 10:07 am EST - RAW PDF Files of ChatGPT Response: Page 1, Page 2 Since people may not want to believe me, I asked an independent source the question and got their response. My independent source was ChatGPT and I asked the following question: "what is the average ROI for a professional sports bettor".…
  • TSP Education – Hot & Cold Cycles October 25, 2024 3:00 pm EDT - The TSP Index (https://TheSharpPlays.com/the-sharp-plays-index/) just moved into an uptrend after 16 days of downtrend. The typical run within the Index (uptrend or downtrend) tends to last around 7-10 days with 75% of runs ending within 14 days. A consistent run in the Index lasting 20+ days is considered "long". So,…
  • Newbie Guide to TSP Live & Advantage Betting September 13, 2024 2:00 pm EDT - You know, it's funny. Someone said to me recently that I must have a bunch of new customers in because I have been in rare form with my morning messages. Yes, as with any new football season a bunch of novices and rookies come out of the woodwork looking to…
  • TSP Education: Why Professionals Sell Selections September 10, 2024 5:50 pm EDT - The comment comes up ALL THE TIME when it comes to the sale of sports selections... "If someone is so good at betting then why do they sell their picks? Why not just bet their selections and make a fortune?" My response...If someone is involved in gambling to make money,…
  • TSP Insiders Grand Opening! September 1, 2024 2:30 am EDT - The time has come! TSP Insiders (httsp://TSPInsiders.com) is going live for its Grand Opening! So now that TSP Insiders is officially open, what the hell happens next? First, you can expect more selections from Tony and The Wolf to be available moving forward. It does not mean they will each…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #3 – July 20th, Race #11 July 20, 2024 12:45 pm EDT - In the last two episodes of "Saratoga Handicapping" I dove int races in looking to find the value. However, what if you have a horse you absolutely know is going to win...but it is going to be a big chalk and likely not a value BUT YOU JUST HAVE TO…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #2 – July 18th, Race #5 July 18, 2024 12:12 pm EDT - As I told someone yesterday..."Hopefully the combination of articles [I am doing this month] will help put together a picture but yes, handicapping horses is an art and something people do for the love of it. If you don't have that passion for it...it's not worth the time because it…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #1 – July 17th, Race #7 July 17, 2024 1:22 pm EDT - I plan to do these race breakdowns a few times this month to provide insights into basic horse racing handicapping. Eventually developing them into an article for TheSharpPlays.com. IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND...HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING IS COMPLEX. Just look at a racing form and you will see all sorts of…
  • TSP Live Education – Sunday Night Baseball Fade June 16, 2024 9:35 am EDT - To save myself from repeating this every Sunday during baseball season, here’s a quick breakdown of one of the few public fade angles that actually works—and has for nearly 30 years. 🏝️ Where It Started My first role in sports betting was making Sunday Night Baseball markets for an offshore…
  • TSP Live Education: Counter Buys, In-Play, 2nd Half Wagers & MORE! March 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT - On the morning of March 14 (2024), I released a wager in TSP Live on Xavier/UConn UNDER 149.5 for the TSP Live Portfolio. Shortly after the release, a counter buy hit on the OVER 149 and above. Counter buys tend to be strong angles to bet...betting with the late money…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Edge Based on Straight Bet Win Percentage March 10, 2024 1:06 pm EDT - The first chart shows your chances of cashing the parlay size listed based on your straight bet win percentage. "SB Win %" stands for "Straight Bet Win Percentage". So, if you hit 50% of your straight bets, you have a 25% chance of cashing a two leg parlay. The second…
  • TSP Live Education: Round Robin Usage February 28, 2024 2:00 pm EST - I posted a page which includes an in-depth breakdown of the performance of the Go Fast and Win and TSP Live Degenerate Portfolios. Not only do I breakdown the ROI's overall and for the current year, but I also list the total wagers and break the action down by category…
  • TSP Education: Patience is a Virtue & The TSP Index January 10, 2024 2:00 pm EST - One of the hardest things for me to get people to understand when it comes to gambling is...no matter how good you are...there are going to be periods of losses. You are going to have cold streaks and periods when you can't pick the quinella in a two horse race.…
  • TSP Live Education: Must Win Scenarios – Player Incentives January 5, 2024 2:14 pm EST - As we approach the end of the NFL season, we begin to hear about the "must win" situations for teams to get into the playoffs along with many player incentives that come into play in the final week. Let's first discuss the "must win" situations. The problem for gamblers is…
  • TSP Live Education: “What Should I Bet?” November 25, 2023 4:15 pm EST - Of all the questions that I get about TSP Live, wagering, etc., the above is the question I get asked all the time..."What Should I Bet?" While it is the most common question, it is also the hardest for me to answer because every bettor is different. I hear from…
  • TSP Live Education: Why Bet Exotics (Parlays & Teasers)? November 22, 2023 4:16 pm EST - I am going to discuss parlays and teasers more when it comes to using them during cold runs. I do use parlays and teasers during hot runs, but that's pretty easy to understand...when it's hot...parlays and teasers will provide nice returns. However, when it is cold, why would they be…
  • TSP Live Education: What Are Rollovers & Why Use Them? November 22, 2023 2:45 pm EST - Rollovers are a name I just began using when I referred to a wager where you take the risk and profit from one bet and roll it onto another one. It's basically the leverage of a parlay but with the freedom of a straight bet. For more details I have…
  • TSP Live Education: Utilizing The Sharp Plays Index November 22, 2023 11:34 am EST - Part I (originally published on 5/12/23 as a TSP Live Insider article) My discussion much of this week was about knowing what type of market you are in…and betting accordingly. To quickly recap, I stated there are three types of betting market environments. I discussed these three betting environments using…
  • TSP Live Education: That’s too Chalky to be a Value…isn’t it?!?! November 22, 2023 11:30 am EST - The below originally appeared as a TSP Live Insider article on June 27th... I hear it all the time…”sharps don’t bet lines that high”…”or sharps would never bet a -300.” Both of these statements are completely false. There is no such thing as a line being too high that sharp…
  • TSP Live Education: Using TSP Portfolio Parlay/Rollover Selections for Straight Bets November 22, 2023 11:28 am EST - Every football season there are always new people to the content, and many are unsure the best way to follow. So, I thought I would share one strategy that many veteran TSP Live users go with. It's simple, it tends to provide only 2-3 selections each game day and it…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Strategy (Keying Plays, Round Robins, Tolerance) November 22, 2023 11:26 am EST - Parlay strategy could honestly be a thesis, but it would get very boring with math and stats. So, I will touch on a couple quick items on parlays. First, you won't hear a lot of sharp bettors use parlays. They will cite the "sucker bet" nature of the bet and…
  • TSP Live Education: Line Moves (Good & Bad) November 22, 2023 11:25 am EST - So, you just placed a wager on Boston College -5 over Syracuse and now the line is -4. What do you do? Of course the answer is you immediately panic that sharp action hit Syracuse and that your wager is dead...and with it your life is over! You call the…

Good luck!!