Hermes Reports & Alerts

Hermes currently delivers multiple types of reports and alerts, with more features expected to be added over time. When a new report type becomes available, it will be detailed in the section below.

While most Hermes alerts are “Hermes Selections”, additional analytical reports provide deep market insights.


Current Hermes Alerts & Reports

πŸ“Œ Hermes Selections

Hermes processes sharp action measurements, algorithms, statistical analysis, group activity, known bettor metrics, line movement, past performance, trends, and public actionβ€”scoring potential wagers from 0 to 100.

Performance Breakdown:

  • Scores below 29 β†’ Profitable grind, ROR (Return on Risk) of 1.5-3%
  • Scores 30+ β†’ Materially stronger performance, ROR above 5% (exceptional level in sports wagering)

πŸ”Ή Note: Hermes scores can fluctuate throughout the day as odds move and action shifts.
πŸ”Ή A declining score is NOT a fadeβ€”all selections remain profitable, but stable/increasing scores tend to perform best.


πŸ“Œ Known Bettor Alerts

Hermes monitors high-ranking bettors (Top 100 at an offshore sportsbook) in each sport. When these bettors place limit or above-average wagers, Hermes can immediately flag and alert TSP Live subscribers.

πŸ’‘ How It Works:

  • A bettor ranked #6 in NFL places a limit wager.
  • Within 20 seconds, Hermes triggers an alert, allowing followers to track and potentially copy the action of key bettors or groups.
  • These reports are especially useful when a Hermes Selection score is below 30 or lacks enough data for proper scoring.

πŸ“Œ Consensus Report

πŸ”Ž Tracking 500+ sports services & handicappers (both free & paid), Hermes analyzes where the majority of these bettors are placing action.

Why does this matter?

  • Most services & handicappers lose long-term
  • A sportsbook I work with scrapes selections from these services to anticipate public moves & adjust lines accordingly
  • Example: If dozens of services bet Tampa -8, the book raises the line to Tampa -8.5 before public bettors place their wagers

πŸ“Š How Hermes Scores Consensus Reports:

  • Scale of 1 to 10 β†’ 10 means overwhelming service consensus on one side
  • Score of 8+ β†’ Typically a strong fade (historically profitable)
  • Alerts include sharp money details β†’ If services & public bettors are heavily on one side while sharps are on the other, it creates a Pro’s vs. Joe’s setup, which has been profitable long-term

πŸ“Œ Public Alerts

⚠ Stay away from heavily public-backed bets!

Hermes detects:
βœ” One-sided public action
βœ” Potential fade opportunities (e.g., public dogs, public UNDERs, Pro’s vs. Joe’s matchups)
βœ” Key setups where books have an advantage


πŸ“Œ Market Breakdown Reports

These are deep-dive reports covering:
βœ” Public betting breakdowns
βœ” Sharp money breakdowns
βœ” Optimal book position
βœ” Analytical analysis of a specific market

πŸ”Ή Originally popularized during the 2022 World Cup, these reports provide the most comprehensive market insights in one alert.


πŸš€ Looking Ahead to 2025

Hermes is just getting started! The current version has only 30% of its capabilities activated, with more features yet to come.

πŸ“’ Stay updated on new features & reports via:
πŸ“² Twitter/X & Telegram

I hope you enjoy the new content!

Good luck!