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No luck yesterday in soccer to get the Nigeria DRAW. I held back on any further action because there was only marginal stuff out there. No reason to force it. TSP Index was in a downtrend so I want to play it tight…not loose. We are in somewhat of a lull in action yesterday and today as the only thing out there is some minor tennis tournaments finishing up and the Olympics beginning…then there is just MLB and one CFL game today.
Here’s something interesting I noticed yesterday. Last July was a strong month, this July has not been as strong, but is still nicely in the green for the TSP Portfolio. The interesting part is, if you check the TSP Index table, not the chart, at https://thesharpplays.com/the-sharp-plays-index/, you will notice that of the 25 days in July so far, the Index has been in a downtrend (“DOWN” on the table) for 20 of the 25 days. Obviously, the other 5 days were “UP” trending days for the Index (meaning sharps had the momentum). Despite this dynamic and the sharps struggling for the vast majority of July, the TSP Portfolio is in the green. I am not here to pat the TSP Portfolio on the back for outperforming the Index, but my goal is illustrating once again to trust the process and be patient. Sure, Schauffele +1400 for +1.4 units is the difference maker this month…but sometimes that is gambling. Don’t make me tell you the story of the one football season about 14 years ago where I lost money in September, October and November, but then had an EPIC December where I made all my losses back and a GREAT profit on top. Sometimes that’s just how it goes. Don’t fight it. Don’t set expectations on how you should make money in this business. If you do…no matter those expectations, you will be disappointed and annoyed…and that annoyance will just lead you to making stupid and irrational betting decisions. Just get a winning strategy…or if you don’t have one that’s OK…96% of gamblers lose. So, subscribe to TSP Live (self-serving promo), ride the ups and downs, be patient and the profits will come! Let’s see if we can build on those profits for July!
If you are looking for updated information on the TSP Index, visit the TSP Live Dashboard (https://TSP.Live/tsp-live-alerts/) every morning and click the “Tables” link in the green menu!
Bonus TSP Insiders Information
Tony is taking Houston -120 over the LA Dodgers. Tony feels the Dodgers are getting too much credit here and the price should be around Houston -140.
Wolf is taking a pass at this time.
Promo codes:
TONYBLOWS for 100% off any of Tony’s sales at TSPInsiders
TSPWOLF for 80% off the Wolf’s selections at his website (AnalyticsWolf.com)
**Codes valid for July during testing.**
No Algorithm Selections at this time due to a downtrending TSP Index.
Score Prediction Analytic has Chicago Cubs 6 – Kansas City 4 (Chicago Cubs +133)
Noteworthy Action
None
TSP Portfolio Action: 0.12 units on Houston -120 (MLB) to win 0.10 units
Reason: Following Tony on this one and we will see what develops for the rest of the day. I initially wrote this up as a 0.18 unit bet to win 0.15 units, but with the Index in a downtrend, and off a loss yesterday, it’s better to just keep it tight and expand when the Index is trending in our direction…or at least when we are off a win before pressing a little.
***Click here for more details on the TSP Live Portfolio. TSP Insiders’ paid selections will carry unit ratings for the TSP Portfolio. These separate TSP Portfolio wagers are expected to comprise only 10% of the wagers within the Portfolio each year. Not purchasing a TSP Insiders selection will likely reduce the profits you will achieve, but is unlikely to have a material effect on your individual ROI compared to the overall ROI for the TSP Portfolio.
My goal is to issue content via alert to get it into your hands as quickly as possible AND THEN update the tables. So, content you see in this message may take up to 5 or more minutes before it shows up on the “Tables” link(s) in the TSP Live Dashboard at https://TSP.Live/tsp-live-alerts/).
Good luck!
TSP Live alerts should not be construed as a recommendation to place a specific wager. TSP Live alerts are simply programmed to inform you of unique & specific conditions being met in the sports betting markets…or wagers I am personally making. Alerts are not sent to advise you on what or how to wager.