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What is the TSP Portfolio?
Launched on January 1, 2023, the TSP Portfolio develops wagers using content from all of The Sharp Plays’ platforms—both free and paid—including:
✔ Twitter/X
✔ Telegram
✔ TheSharpPlays.com
✔ GoFastAndWin.com
✔ TSP.Live & TSP Insiders
💡 Where Do TSP Portfolio Wagers Come From?
- 90% of wagers originate from TSP Live Portfolio action (paid TSP Live subscription).
- 10% come from TSP Insiders (paid & free releases) or are posted publicly (Twitter/X, Telegram, etc.).
- Expanded Portfolio tracking logs any wagers not released for the TSP Portfolio within TSP Live.
The TSP Portfolio’s Strategy & Goals
- Low-volume wagering, with bets ranging from 0.5% to 5% of bankroll.
- Adjusts risk levels (aggressive/passive) based on current betting environment (TSP Index).
- Designed for novice bettors, teaching how to maximize value and ROR and ROI without reckless betting.
- NOT a reflection of all my bets—while I follow the TSP Portfolio, I also take additional action based on my personal risk tolerance.
The TSP Portfolio uses every type of bet, including:
✔ Straight bets
✔ Parlays & teasers
✔ Rollovers
✔ Futures & more
While it spans all sports, 90%+ of wagers involve the major leagues (NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, MLB, tennis, and soccer).
Tracking & Performance
📊 Daily logs: TSP Portfolio action is logged at TheSharpPlays.com.
📈 Performance tracking: View results on the Portfolio Performance page (link).
Free vs. Paid TSP Portfolio Wagers
🚨 Is free content lower quality than paid content? Absolutely not!
- Both free and paid Portfolio wagers work together toward the same overall TSP Portfolio goals.
- However, TSP Insiders’ paid selections make up just 5% of the TSP Portfolio. Not purchasing these may slightly reduce profits but won’t have a major impact on your overall ROI.
📌 “Expanded Portfolio” wagers (those outside TSP Live) are tracked separately and labeled “Expanded” in the TSP Portfolio log.
How Much Should You Bet?
The TSP Portfolio serves as a guide for:
✔ Wager selection
✔ Risk structuring
✔ Bankroll management
💡 Typical bet size: 1.0% – 1.5% of bankroll
Example:
- Bankroll: $10,000
- 1% wager: $100 per bet
Understanding Return on Risk (ROR) vs. Bankroll Return on Investment (ROI)
📊 Return on Risk (ROR): Profit/loss per dollar wagered.
📈 Bankroll Return on Investment (ROI): Profit/loss relative to bankroll.
Example ROR/ROI Calculation
- Bankroll: $10,000
- Average wager: $100 (1% of bankroll)
- Total wagers in a year: 500
- Total betting volume: $50,000 (500 x $100)
- Return on Risk (ROR): +5%
- Profit: $2,500 ($50,000 x 5%)
- Bankroll Return on Investment (ROI): +25% ($2,500 profit / $10,000 bankroll)
🔹 Whether your bankroll is $100, $10,000, or $10M, ROR and ROI percentages remain the same, but dollar amounts will differ.
What is a Good Return on Risk (ROR)?
🔢 Expected Long-Term ROR Based on Win Percentage (at -110 odds):
| Win % | Return on Risk (ROR) |
|---|---|
| 52.38% | Break-even |
| 53% | +1.18% |
| 54% | +3.09% |
| 55% | +5.00% |
| 56% | +6.91% |
| 57% | +8.82% |
| 58% | +10.73% |
| 59% | +12.64% |
| 60% | +14.55% |
📌 Most professional sports bettors achieve a long-term Risk ROR of 2% to 5%.
✔ 1%-2% ROR = Consistent but requires a large betting volume.
✔ 3%-5% ROR = Excellent performance, typically achieved by specialized bettors.
✔ 5%+ ROR = Rare, indicating high skill & market inefficiencies.
Final Thoughts
The TSP Portfolio is designed to:
✔ Provide structure & strategy
✔ Educate novice bettors
✔ Maximize value, ROR & ROI over time
📌 Your bankroll, risk tolerance, and goals determine how you use this information.
💬 Questions? Feedback? Click here to contact us!
🚀 Enjoy the TSP Portfolio and best of luck with your action!