Return to GoFastAndWin.com “Free Analytics” page
Return to the Sports Dashboard
The TSP Portfolio develops wagers using the content delivered through The Sharp Plays and its various platforms. Some wagers within the TSP Portfolio are posted FREE and publicly at GoFastandWin.com, Twitter and Telegram. The vast majority of wagers will appear as paid content through a the TSP.Live sports subscription. The TSP Portfolio will use every type of wager to attack the sports betting markets…rollovers, parlays, teasers, straight bets, futures & more! Wagers may be placed in any sport where wagering is possible…whether NFL, horse racing on a Tuesday afternoon, or Aussie Rules Football!
TSP Portfolio action is logged daily in the Content Logs at TheSharpPlays.com. You can view the performance of the TSP Portfolio by visiting the Portfolio Performance page on TheSharpPlays.com. The “Portfolio Performance” page breaks down the lifetime and current year’s performance across every wager type…it’s worth visiting regularly.
The “Current Year’s Bank”, shown on the Portfolio Performance table is the net profit (or loss) for all action in the TSP Portfolio for the current year. The “Lifetime Bank” is the total of all profits for the life the TSP Portfolio. The TSP Portfolio was started in January of 2023. The “Lifetime Bank” was achieved through an initial wager of just 0.1 units of bankroll risk on a rollover wager. Once an initial bank of net profit was established through winnings, everything after that point has been the wagering of house money.
Once a bank of house money is established for the current year, you no longer have any out of pocket bankroll risk (because you are betting profits)! The dynamic of wagering house money (i.e. profits) allows the TSP Portfolio to open up to even more risk than if it were solely using principal bankroll.
A common misconception is that “free content” is “lesser content”. The idea that free content is lesser content is WRONG! To me, wagers for the TSP Portfolio which are posted publicly/free and wagers posted within the TSP.Live sports subscription are EQUALS in terms of quality, desire for success, and value. Public/free and subscriber wagers work together toward overall TSP Portfolio goals.
How much should you wager based on the action in the TSP Portfolio? The TSP Portfolio allows The Sharp Plays to show wagers it wants to key in on, risk structure of wagers within a bankroll/portfolio, and a lot more on a daily basis. The unit sizing is tailored to educate the NOVICE GAMBLER (i.e. low risk). The structure and strategy used within the TSP Portfolio is not the “right” way to do things…it is just The Sharp Plays’ way based on personal views of the action and personal preferences and tolerances. What someone should wager will vary by person (bankroll, risk tolerance, profit in hand, etc.)…and only you can answer that question.
Novice bettors would best be served by wagering the EXACT UNIT AMOUNTS (or perhaps even a lesser amount) as laid out in the TSP Portfolio (i.e. if a 0.33 unit wager is being placed, then it would be best if you stuck with the 0.33 units of risk or less). More advanced bettors, including The Sharp Plays, often wager a multiple of 2x to 10x or more compared to the unit risk listed in the Portfolio. So, if The Sharp Plays has a 0.22 unit wager in the TSP Portfolio, some veteran bettors may decide to wager from 0.44 units up to 2.2 units or more on the same wager. To each their own! Just be aware that the greater the multiple you use in comparison to the unit risk listed in the TSP Portfolio, the better you must be at bankroll management and handling losses!
The overall ROI listed is the ROI for all wagers placed for the life of the TSP Portfolio. ROI is the return on every dollar wagered on action within the TSP Portfolio. For example, let’s say there are 500 wagers in the TSP Portfolio and you place an average of $200 on each wager…for a total betting volume of $100,000 (500 wagers x $200 per wager). An ROI of 5% would mean an expected net profit of +$5,000 ($100,000 betting volume x 5% = $5,000 a.k.a. +25 units given 1 unit is $200 in this example). ROI is not affected by how much in dollars you wager, so long as you keep the ratios within the TSP Portfolio consistent. What that means is if The Sharp Plays bets 0.22 units on Wager A and 0.11 units on Wager B, then you will achieve the same ROI as the Portfolio so long as you bet twice as much on Wager A than you do on Wager B. Whether that is 0.44 units on Wager A and 0.22 units on Wager B or it is 2.2 units on Wager A and 1.1 units on Wager B…ROI will be the same for you as it is in the Portfolio.
It also does not matter to ROI whether you bet $1,000,000 per unit or $100 per unit. ROI is the same…but your dollar profit will obviously differ given the size of your betting unit.
What’s a good ROI? The best sharps have long-term win percentages of 55-56% against the spread (sides/totals). So, here’s the ROI based on -110 pricing and the win percentages shown.
Win Percentage = ROI (52.38% is break-even at -110)
53% = 1.18%
54% = 3.09%
55% = 5.00%
56% = 6.91%
57% = 8.82%
In 30 years of experience, I have never seen a bettor hit over 58% on 1000+ wagers of point spreads and totals with the average price of a standard -110. However, here’s what the ROI would look like…
58% = 10.73%
59% = 12.64%
60% = 14.55%
Elite sharp bettor ROI is 6-7%. Average sharp bettor ROI is 3-5%. Don’t believe me…ask Google and find out! 😉
Your questions and feedback are always welcome! You can send a message by clicking here.
Hope you enjoy the content!
Good Luck!
Return to GoFastAndWin.com “Free Analytics” page
Return to the Sports Dashboard