TSP Live Portfolio

The TSP Live Portfolio develops wagers using the content delivered through The Sharp Plays and its various platforms (i.e. GoFastAndWin.com Podcast and website). Some wagers within the TSP Live Portfolio are posted FREE and publicly at GoFastandWin.com, Twitter and Telegram. Other wagers will appear as paid content through a TSP Live subscription. The TSP Live Portfolio will use every type of wager to attack the sports betting markets…rollovers, parlays, teasers, straight bets, futures & more! Wagers maybe placed in any sport where wagering is possible…whether NFL, horse racing on a Tuesday afternoon, or Aussie Rules Football!

TSP Live Portfolio action is logged daily in the Content Logs at TheSharpPlays.com and broken out based on wagers posted publicly/free within the portfolio and those which appear within TSP Live subscriber content. You can view the performance of the TSP Live Portfolio by visiting the Portfolio Performance page on TheSharpPlays.com. The Portfolio Performance page breaks down the lifetime and current year’s performance across every wager type…it’s worth visiting regularly.

The “Current Year’s Bank” shown on the portfolio table is the net profit (or loss) for all action in the TSP Live portfolio for the current year (free and subscriber wagers). The “Lifetime Bank” is the total of all profits for the life the TSP Live Portfolio (again free and subscriber wagers). The TSP Live Portfolio was started in January of 2023. The “Lifetime Bank” was achieved through an initial wager of just 0.1 units of bankroll risk on a rollover wager. Once an initial bank of net profit was established through winnings, everything after that point has been the wagering of house money.

A common misconception is that “free content” is “lesser content”. The idea that free content is lesser content is WRONG! To me, wagers posted publicly/free and wagers posted within the TSP Live subscription are EQUALS in terms of quality, desire for success and value. Public and subscriber wagers work together toward overall TSP Live Portfolio goals.

Once a bank of house money is established for the current year, you no longer have any out of pocket bankroll risk (because you are betting profits)! The dynamic of wagering house money (i.e. profits) allows me to open up to even more risk than if I were solely using principal bankroll.

How much should you wager based on the action in the TSP Portfolio? The TSP Live Portfolio allows me to show wagers I like, my risk structure within a bankroll, and a lot more on a daily basis. The unit sizing is tailored to educate the novice gambler (i.e. low risk). The structure and strategy I use within the portfolio is not the “right” way to do things…it is just my way based on my personal view of the action and my preferences and tolerances. What someone should wager will vary by person (bankroll, risk tolerance, profit in hand, etc.)…and only you can answer that question.

Novice bettors would best be served by wagering the EXACT UNIT AMOUNTS (or even a lesser amount) as laid out in the portfolio (i.e. if I have a 0.33 unit wager then it would be best if you stuck with the 0.33 units of risk or less). More advanced bettors, including myself, often wager a multiple of 2x to 10x or more compared of the unit risk listed. So, if I have a 0.22 unit wager in a portfolio, veteran bettors may decide to wager from 0.44 units up to 2.2 units or more on the same wager. Some veteran bettors may just wager what I have shown (i.e. 0.22 units in this example). To each their own! Just be aware that the greater the multiple you use in comparison to the unit risk listed in the portfolio, the better you must be at bankroll management and handling losses!

The overall ROI listed is the ROI for all wagers placed for the life of that portfolio. ROI is the return on every dollar wagered on action within the portfolio. For example, let’s say there are 500 wagers in the portfolio and you place $200 on each wager…for a total betting volume of $100,000 (500 wagers x $200 per wager). An ROI of 5% would mean an expected net profit of +$5,000 ($100,000 betting volume x 5% = $5,000 a.k.a. +25 units given 1 unit is $200 in this example). ROI is not affected by how much you wager, so long as you keep the ratios within the portfolio consistent. What that means is if I bet 0.22 units on Wager A and 0.11 units on Wager B, then you will achieve the same ROI as the portfolio so long as you bet twice as much on Wager A than you do on Wager B. Whether that is 0.44 units on Wager A and 0.22 units on Wager B or it is 2.2 units on Wager A and 1.1 units on Wager B…ROI will be the same for you as it is in the portfolio.

It also does not matter to ROI whether you bet $1,000,000 per unit or $100 per unit. ROI is the same…but your dollar profit will obviously differ given the size of your betting unit.

What’s a good ROI? The best sharps have long-term win percentages of 55-56% against the spread (sides/totals). So, here’s the ROI based on -110 pricing and the win percentages shown.

Win Percentage = ROI (52.38% is break-even at -110)
53% = 1.18%
54% = 3.09%
55% = 5.00%
56% = 6.91%
57% = 8.82%

In 30 years of experience, I have never seen a bettor hit over 58% on 1000+ wagers of point spreads and totals with the average price of a standard -110. However, here’s what the ROI would look like…
58% = 10.73%
59% = 12.64%
60% = 14.55%

Elite sharp bettor ROI is 6-7%. Average sharp bettor ROI is 3-5%. Don’t believe me…ask Google! 😉

Your questions and feedback are always welcome! You can send a message by clicking here.

Hope you enjoy the content!

Good Luck!