To save myself from repeating this every Sunday during baseball season, here’s a quick breakdown of one of the few public fade angles that actually works—and has for nearly 30 years.
🏝️ Where It Started
My first role in sports betting was making Sunday Night Baseball markets for an offshore book. It gave me a front-row seat to how the action flowed and what made this one MLB game each week so unique from a betting standpoint. What jumped out early—and kept proving true over time—was this:
Fading the public on Sunday Night Baseball just works.
🚫 Not All Fades Are Equal
Blindly fading the public is a trap most bettors fall into—and over time, that approach ends up being a 50/50 coin flip. You’ll win some, lose some, and get juiced out just like the public.
But Sunday Night Baseball is different.
When the public is showing medium or heavy action on a side or total, fading that lean has been a long-term winner. I don’t bother with minor public interest—it has to be clear and notable action to qualify…but that’s not all…to really amp up the performance of this wagering angle, there’s something more…
✅ The 3-of-8 Rule
This isn’t just a blanket “fade the public” approach. I use eight proprietary filters to evaluate each matchup. A minimum of three must be met for a play to qualify as an official Sunday Night Baseball public fade.
It’s a disciplined, data-supported strategy—not a hunch or guess…and it has been working beautifully since 1999!
Good luck!