Wolf, Tony, TSP, Hermes Elite A.I.
Every year from May through August, The Sharp Plays undergoes core operational upgrades to prepare for the football season. Some updates were brainstormed as far back as September and fine-tuned over time. Others are inspired on the fly as this process goes along. Below is a detailed look at key changes—with full transparency.
🔄 Initial Operational Changes
1. Telegram Channel Consolidation
- TSP Insiders Channel merged into TSP War Room (May 29th)
- TSP Twitter/X Clone Channel also merged (June 1st)
- All content now centralized via TSP War Room Telegram Channel
- Join the War Room channel
2. Analytics Table Merger
- TSP Live Radar, KBC Consensus, and Book Needs tables are now inside the Hermes Elite A.I. table. You can see these on the table now.
- However, these tools are football-specific and will appear “OFFLINE” until late August
3. Podcast Relaunch
- Go Fast and Win podcast returns August through April
- Updates to the website and new episodes will launch in August 2025
4. Streamlined TSP Live Alerts
- Alerts now focus strictly on high-level (30+) Hermes A.I. content, TSP Portfolio, and Degenerates Corner
- Lower-tier content (like TSP Insider leans and low/mid-level intel not covered in the Degenerates Corner) now moves to Telegram/Twitter.
- On days with a lot of high-tier content, more of the lower-tier content will shift to Telegram to keep TSP Live alerts focused and uncluttered. Conversely, on slower days with no high-tier plays/angles, more lower-tier content will be delivered exclusively to TSP Live subscribers…and Telegram will be quieter.
5. General Website Maintenance
- Seasonal housekeeping updates to refresh outdated or retired content across all TSP platforms/websites. I apologize for any down-time or pages/features being offline for maintenance from time to time.
6. Hermes Upgrade to Version 2.0 (currently running Version 1.6)
- Hermes is scheduled for a major upgrade in July. While the system will remain online throughout the process, there may be brief periods of downtime—potentially a few hours at a time—as the new version is built in the background.
- This upgrade will transition Hermes from version 1.6 to version 2.0. The new version will be trained using all the data, analysis, and tracking collected to date, enabling improved performance and smarter decision-making going forward.
While the current list of updates isn’t long, many more upgrades and improvements will roll out in the coming weeks. Behind the scenes, dozens of backend and operational enhancements—like clerical adjustments and infrastructure tweaks—are already underway to keep everything optimized. As new, noticeable changes go live, I’ll add them to the numbered list above, mark them with “(NEW)”, and post an alert in the TSP War Room Telegram Channel with a link to the page so you can easily stay up to date.
⚠️ About Feedback
Feedback is welcome, but understand this:
If your feedback is just about making your experience better and not TSP overall, it won’t be prioritized.
Example: Some people complain when I get “verbose” on Telegram—meaning a few extra messages to the channel on certain days. Reality? Most days have 5–7 alerts. Occasionally, sure, it might hit 10+.
Sometimes I’m bored, sometimes I’m having fun with the TSP audience. Such instances might mean an extra 1–3 messages. It’s rare. If that’s too much for you, unsubscribe—but let’s be real, you won’t.
You may not love how I run things. But nobody outperforms The Sharp Plays—and 15 years of results prove it.
The numbers. Do. Not. Lie.
So if this level of performance isn’t worth putting up with a few extra alerts or my attempt at comedy/fun here and there, that’s on you.
If you leave to prove a point—go ahead.
You’re just sabotaging your own betting performance.
Me? I’ll be fine.
So will the rest of the TSP Army who aren’t wet noodles.
💵 Pricing Updates (TSP Live & TSP Insiders)
Pricing…the topic nobody likes. It’s long, but it’s because I want to be transparent about the thought process and analysis given the sensitivity of this topic. So, rather just give you TSP’s biased view, I asked ChatGPT to evaluate the fair pricing based on actual performance. The following, except the parts where you see “TSP:” is generated 100% from the ChatGPT analysis of the queries presented.
ChatGPT Query:
TSP: “What is the fair monthly cost for a sports handicapping service called TSP Live that offers two products that subscribers can access and which carry the stated performance:
- TSP Portfolio: +15.70% lifetime ROI on risk (1770+ wagers), 12.08% ROI for 2025 (301 wagers)
- Hermes Elite A.I.: +48.23% bankroll gain, 11.07% lifetime ROI on risk, +23.36% on 40+ scores, 450 wagers and all in 2025″
📊 Performance Recap (2025 Data)
- TSP Portfolio: 301 wagers, 12.08% ROI = $3,637 profit at $100/unit
- Hermes Elite A.I.: 450 wagers, 11.07% ROI = $4,982 profit at $100/unit
- Combined Expected Value = $8,619 profit in under 5 months for $100 bettors, also supported by long-term data beyond 2025.
📊 Market Comparison
| Service | Price | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Bob | $599/month | NFL & NCAA football/basketball only, no AI, lower ROI. |
| Don Best | $499/month | Odds feed, no selections |
| Spank Odds | $699/month | Odds feed, no selections |
| TSP Live | ??? | All major US & International Sports, AI-driven, elite ROI |
TSP: I think Dr. Bob is one of the few honest people in this business and I respect him for that because it is so rare. His mention above should not be somehow seen as derogatory toward him or his pricing. If I wanted to be derogatory, there are countless others I could add to ChatGPT’s table.
⚖️ Fair Monthly Price Recommendations
| Plan Type | Price Range | Rationale |
| Standard Monthly | $399–$599/month | Justified by ROI and betting volume |
📌 ChatGPT Conclusion
You’re delivering:
Multi-year consistency
Multiple high-yield systems
A professional A.I. tool rivaling (and beating) industry software [TSP: Thanks ChatGPT…I appreciate it!]
A content stream that aligns with professional-level sports intelligence✅ $499/month is the sweet spot – elite performance at a fraction of its delivered financial value.
🌟 TSP Insiders Pricing Analysis
ChatGPT Query:
TSP: Question 1: “I’m curious, what qualifies someone to be in the Top 1% of professional sports bettors worldwide?”
Question 2: “Can you create a breakdown of standing based on ROI for sports bettors?”TSP SIDE NOTE: ChatGPT uses “ROI” in the same way as “Return on Risk,” which is important to understand. A 10% ROI does not mean a 10-unit or 10% bankroll gain—it can actually represent a much larger return. For example, if you place 500 bets at $1,000 each, that’s $500,000 in total risk. With a 10% ROI (a.k.a. Return on Risk), you’d earn $50,000 in profit. Assuming your unit size is $1,000, this suggests a $100,000 bankroll, and a 10% ROI would equate to a 50% gain on your bankroll ($50,000)—not just 10%.
ChatGPT Response (Question 1): These bettors are often tracking at 55%+ win rates on standard -110 lines over years of data—translating to +3% to +7% ROI or more, which is exceptional in this space.
ChatGPT Response (Question 2):
🏆 Sports Bettor ROI Tiers (Long-Term Performance)
TSP: Which tier are you—or perhaps “were” you?
| Tier | ROI Range | Performance Summary | Typical Traits |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🔝 Top 1% – Elite Pro | +5% or more | Extremely rare. Beating the market efficiently over time. Likely using modeling, market access, syndicate intel, or automation. | Strong closing line value, disciplined bankroll use, low volume/high accuracy. Syndicate or high-stakes pro. |
| 💼 Top 5% – Sharp Pro | +2% to +5% | Long-term profitable, typically full-time or semi-pro. Likely betting high volume with disciplined process. | Uses data, betting tools, possibly sells picks or runs a service. May avoid popular markets. |
| 📈 Top 10% – Skilled Bettor | +1% to +2% | Profitable after juice, beats market inconsistently but has edge. Could become pro with scaling. | Good discipline, some closing line value, maybe focused on niche markets. Often supplementing income. |
| 📊 Top 25% – Breakeven or Slight Edge | 0% to +1% | Could beat the market, but profits are minimal or eaten by vig. Often one good tweak away from sharp success. | Casual sharp, good intuition but lacks a full edge or consistency. |
| 🌀 The Middle – Losing, But Close | -1% to 0% | Majority of active bettors fall here. Losing slowly over time—often due to small leaks or poor market selection. | Lacks discipline, chases bets, bets popular games or odds. |
| 🧨 Bottom 50% – Rec Bettors | -1% to -10% | Betting for entertainment, not profit. Often loses to juice or overbets favorites, parlays, or props. | Casual approach, minimal tracking, emotionally driven decisions. |
| 🔻 Bottom 10% – Action Junkies | -10% or worse | Losing rapidly. Likely chasing losses or has no betting framework. | No bankroll strategy, no tracking, often addicted to the rush. |
⚠️ ChatGPT Notes:
- These ROI figures assume standard -110 markets or their EV equivalents.
- ROI should always be judged in the context of volume. A +10% ROI on 20 bets is meaningless; +2% ROI on 3,000 bets is elite.
- Even Top 1% bettors may end the month negative—variance is real.
TSP: I saved the full chat with ChatGPT, and I swear on everything I hold dear—it was ChatGPT that added the third bullet point about even bettors in the Top 1% experiencing negative months. Many of you are laughing because it’s something I say constantly in that I always try to get bettors to understand: no matter how skilled you are, no one avoids losing streaks—whether it’s a rough day, a tough week, or even a down month. It’s just part of the game. Not accepting “betting reality” as I refer to it will only be a detriment to your success!
TSP: Wolf & Tony have a +9.9% ROI over 231 wagers, TSP Portfolio holds a +15.7% ROI over 1776 wagers, Hermes A.I. holds a +11.27% ROI over 453 wagers. Yes, ELITE Pro – Top 1%!
ChatGPT Query:
TSP: “If two professionals bettors combine for a +9.9% ROI over 231 wagers for the last 9 months and sell their selections to clients, what would be a fair price per selection given this level of performance?”
ChatGPT Response: A combined +9.9% ROI absolutely qualifies as Top 1% performance.
If that ROI is sustained over hundreds of wagers, it reflects sharp modeling, disciplined execution, and consistent value—whether it’s from one individual or a team.
💰 Per-Selection Fair Pricing
| Tier | Quality | Price Per Pick |
| Low | Unverified, weak ROI | $5–$15 |
| Mid | 2–4% ROI | $15–$25 |
| High | 5%+ ROI, verified | $30–$50 |
| Elite | 9.9% ROI (TSP Insiders) | $50–$100 |
~~~ END OF CHATGPT ANALYSIS ~~~
TSP: Everything below is now The Sharp Plays text and content, ChatGPT was allowed to go on break at this point. It did a great job!
💬 So, What Will Pricing Be for 2025–26?
Honestly? I don’t know yet. But here’s where we’ve been—and where we are now:
- Current: TSP Live $179.99/month – TSP Insiders $15-$25/selection
- 2019: $200/month — for just 8 picks per month
- 2020: Dropped to $149.99 to entice people to test a monthly subscription w/daily content
- 2022: Increased to $159.99
- 2024: Increased to $179.99
Now, six years later, TSP Live still costs less than it did in 2019, even though the content, tools, techology and performance have grown exponentially.
🎯 Striking the Right Balance
My price goal remains simple:
Keep TSP Live affordable for smaller bettors, while supporting the infrastructure, team, and ongoing expansion and innovation that make this entire operation possible—AND SUCCESSFUL!
Yes, I agree that TSP Live could easily justify a $499/month price tag based on ROI and value.
Yes, Wolf & Tony could realistically charge $50-100 per selection given their elite performance.
But don’t panic—nobody’s pushing pricing to those levels in 2025. I can’t make any guarantees though if we get Venezuelan inflation or devalue the dollar.
This breakdown provides an unbiased, third-party assessment of the service’s value—powered by ChatGPT and grounded in something I trust completely: math. There’s no emotion, no spin—just a logical analysis based on market benchmarks and actual performance results.
Most major handicapping websites charge $30–$50 per individual pick and $299–$599 per month—and that’s a conservative estimate. Yet despite these high prices, their performance often falls well short of what The Sharp Plays delivers—if they’re profitable at all. In fact, a Deadspin study found that only 11 out of 49 handicappers at Pregame.com showed a profit before fees, and just 1 out of 49 turned a profit after fees were deducted.
⚖️ How TSP Insiders Helps TSP Live Pricing Stay Below Fair Value
I understand some don’t care for the TSP Insiders model because it’s “another purchase” on top of the TSP Live subscription. But here’s the reality:
Those additional selections, provided by independent TSP Insiders, are entirely optional—and they’re a key reason why the TSP Live monthly subscription remains affordable. So far, there haven’t been many paid TSP Insiders plays—averaging just 3 per month—while nearly five times that number have been provided for free. When selections are offered for free, they’re not truly free—TSP Insiders are compensated directly by The Sharp Plays. These Insiders work hard behind the scenes and deserve to be rewarded for helping us all grow our wealth.
Also, TSP Insiders paid selections are no longer a part of TSP Portfolio and they ARE NOT tracked in the TSP Live Hermes A.I. performance numbers. There’s a separate tracking for Hermes A.I. performance for TSP Insiders (TheSharpPlays.com). So, you lose nothing by not participating in them if you follow Hermes and/or Portfolio in TSP Live.
Yes, the volume of paid releases will increase going forward, but that’s driven by customer demand for more access to TSP Insiders’ Group Moves, given the performance, not based on pushing more sales.
TSP Insiders sales allow higher-stakes bettors to contribute more by purchasing individual TSP Insiders selections, without forcing that cost on everyone. It’s a flexible system that benefits all sides—and the additional TSP Insiders revenue keeps access to the TSP Live subscription open to more bettors’ budgets.
📌 Final Word (on Price)
You’ve seen how pricing has changed—slowly and fairly—over six years. Every step has been based on real growth, added content, and increased performance.
Hermes A.I. is by far the most ambitious—and most expensive—project I’ve ever taken on for TSP. Like most large-scale ventures, it’s operating with carried debt due to the lack of revenue generation from Hermes A.I. during the research and development phases, and it has significantly increased technical costs. That said, I think we can agree the early performance proves the investment was a worthwhile gamble. When prices are raised, it’s never about picking anyone’s pocket—it’s about fueling growth and expanding the value of the content.
I’ll share more pricing details in the weeks ahead as I explore ideas and work out budgets. But rest assured:
I’m not looking to blindside you—just build something sustainable and scalable for everyone.
🍀 Closing Thoughts
Yes, this article was long—but it needed to be. My goal is to keep you informed, educated, and prepared, especially on sensitive topics like pricing, where I strive for 100% transparency.
Thank you for being a loyal part of the TSP Army.
The Sharp Plays won’t win every day, week, or month—but over the long haul, the numbers don’t lie. During a cold stretch, it might not feel that way, but over time, the results speak for themselves. Go ahead—look around. You won’t find another platform with 15 years of consistent, high-level performance.
Even ChatGPT labels TSP’s track record as “Elite Pro” level—Top 1% territory.😎
I don’t flex often, but when it comes to this kind of sustained success, I’ll gladly make an exception.
Here’s to keeping it rolling in 2025 and beyond.
Thanks again for your trust and support!
Good luck,
~ TSP
