Category: Telegram Trading

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as financial advice.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: Round number resistance at $540 continues to be a tough nut to crack…even with rumors of tariff easing.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/4bwbhXTNhrT0tvy

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as financial advice.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Momentum Indicator Trade Update

After months of patience, the short trade signaled last year by the Path Predictor Momentum Indicator has finally paid off. Following Monday’s market action, the trade was up +6.61%, and as of today, it’s holding at +4.28%.

For the first time in several months, the momentum indicator has shifted to a NEUTRAL stance on the technicals. As a result, the short…originally initiated around $550 on SPY…will be closed at tomorrow’s open, with the final trade performance updated based on SPY’s opening price.

Once the short closes, the momentum indicator will officially shift to a BULLISH outlook. If I were trading the signal personally, I’d be closing the short and immediately opening a long position. The next target on the upside would be a retest of the red line pivot at $563, as shown in the chart (link below).

Market at a Key Juncture

The market is currently sitting between two major pivots, making it difficult to get a clear read. As a swing trader, I prefer trading pivot touches/breaks, which we’re not quite seeing decisively right now…instead we are in the middle of two key pivots.

Technically, the touch and hold of the $494 pivot would’ve had me going long, waiting either for:

• A set profit target before the redline pivot were touched, or
• A touch of the red line pivot, which would signal an exit.

There are two distinct approaches at play here:

1. Following the Path Predictor Momentum Indicator Table on the FMA Dashboard (linked at the top of this alert), or
2. Trading purely off the Path Predictor Pivots, using pivot touches or breaks as direct entry and exit signals.

Each method offers a different lens, and the choice depends on your strategy and level of discretion in trading.

That said, this is a highly volatile market environment, and all traders should consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as financial advice.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/X353IJTOIxTgc3v

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: The market continues to be volatile, but the key pivot I discussed two weeks ago did hold as support recently. We saw SPY 494.18 get broken on a gap down, but then price recovered. The next day price sold off and basically used the pivot level as support. The following day we gapped down again to a hair below the 494.18 pivot and launched higher. Since then the market, visualized through SPY, seems to be bouncing between 520 and 540. For the Elliott Wave theorists out there, it does look and act like a Wave 3, and if that is the case we likely have lower prices ahead…which will push to potentially as low as SPY 460. The hardest question, which is why more people aren’t traders, is when that break comes. Does it suck in some bulls and get bears to cover and then BAM…out drops the floor and we crash. Tough to say, but I will keep my ear to the ground for clues. Volume continues to be strong. Perfect setup would be a push back to 550 to 560 and then the waterfall selling occurs. Let’s see what hints drop.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/N7n7FXTyCgIdCld

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: A lot of requests to cover crypto. I am only covering Bitcoin because really BTC is the bellwether…when BTC sells, most others are selling and when BTC moves up, most others move up.

BTC Chart: https://sblk.io/s/YdNdi7TGh3SxtMz

My take is simply that we got a rebound today on the tariff news which sent stocks skyrocketing as shorts covered. The liquidation of assets stopped and BTC bounced too…up to a key pivot which will act as resistance. Next resistance are the moving averages, round number resistance at $90,000 and then the top blue pivot point on the chart.

If I am in a trade, I ride positions when they break a pivot and then use a break of the pivot by 1% as a good exit point, but that’s me and everyone should assess their trading with a licensed financial advisor before engaging in ANY trading activity.

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment:  We reached the pivots I discussed last week where I would expect a bounce. We are getting that bounce today, but the question will be whether or not the bounce is just profit taking by bears or the start of a rebound.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/xeyeSXTzhbUnIkn

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: Markets are tanking, but the good news is that this pullback will create some excellent buying opportunities. The key question is: will those opportunities emerge at current levels, or slightly lower? The volume today, as can be seen in the chart below, was INCREDIBLY HIGH…possible sign of capitulation and at least a short-term bottom at this level.

Here’s the current SPY chart: https://sblk.io/s/xeyeSXTPTACPuLn

I’d expect to see some support around the $500 level in SPY—it would be unusual not to get at least a bounce there of some size. That said, I do believe there’s still room to move lower; the real question is how low…and when.

Based on the algorithm’s calculated pivots, if support doesn’t hold at the round number ($500), the next key level for a potential bounce is $494.18. If that level fails, the next material support doesn’t show up until $469.56—and I’d be a long-term buyer if we reach that zone.

A move near $494 would likely be a short-term or swing trade for me, as I still see a possibility of further downside ahead.

Let’s see how price reacts if and when we test $500 in SPY. We’re close, but haven’t quite touched it yet. If I were holding a short position from the pivot break, I’d be trailing my stop down to around $525 at this point.

Have a great weekend!

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: Tell me that red line doesn’t mean something! LOL!

It’s holding tight and bounce around which further illustrates the importance of that level. Once the magnetism of that level goes away then the ensuing move should be a strong one. Below the red line and I am short with my stop being a close above the red line.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/rxaxuoTesOTKnSNK

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: I was waiting to see a break of the redline for a second time and this one sure looked meaningful. I am shorting today and will set my stop to a close above the red line. This is not trading advice for you, just sharing my trade. See disclaimer above!

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/R6B6HOFbtLHkdc77

Good luck in your trades!

The below assessment is provided under the Financial Content Disclaimer at https://TSP.Live/financial-content-disclaimer/. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before trading.

Financial Market Analytics Dashboard (FREE): https://tsp.live/fma-v2/

Assessment: The red line is just a magnet and until price pulls away from the magnet, it could easily continue to just roll around here.

SPY Chart: https://sblk.io/s/gYxYiLFRu0S7FNn

Good luck in your trades!