What is the Oddsmaker’s Report?

Return to TSP Live Analytics Dashboard

The Oddsmaker’s Report provides a high level view of the betting market action. The Oddsmaker’s Report delivers actual messages that traders at one global book post to their trading board (group chat). I then sending tidbits from the group chat that I think you might find interesting or would be good to note for later. If they talk about sharp money buying Tampa -1 and it is -4 right now…I will send it because maybe you could get Tampa +4 in-play (per in-play strategy). If they discuss Tampa as a big public chalk then I will send it because it is good to know. Not because you should fade Tampa. It’s good to know because if you liked Tampa maybe you decide to pass since a big public chalk likely carries no value. Perhaps you see the line on Tampa went from -3 to -4 and don’t know why. Then you get an Oddsmaker’s Report alert to say there is a group buy hitting on Tampa. No wager is necessary based on the sample alert in the previous sentence, but you just became a more informed bettor…and that is what my content and especially the Oddsmaker’s Report is all about!

When I personally read through the book’s chat throughout the day I make notes…A LOT OF NOTES. At the end of the average day I have perhaps 20-30 notes written down. On a busy NCAAF Saturday it could be 50+ notes easily. Many of those notes make their way into what I post on Twitter or Telegram that day. However, out of all those 30-50+ notes, I might only end up with 1-2 wagers. It just becomes too much information to wager on and manage. Oddsmaker’s Report alerts should be viewed the same way. If there are 10 Oddsmaker’s Report alerts in the day…you should not have 10+ bets! You should not follow every sharp buy, every book need and fade every major public play. Sure, over the long haul it’ll likely return a profit, but most bettors can’t handle the swings when dealing which such high volume content. As such, it is best to filter the alert content to 1-2 wagers you like and then attack (pregame, in-play or both).

Most of the posts to the Oddsmaker’s Report are fired off quickly, so expect some spelling/grammer (wink, wink “ar”) mistakes. At the actual book the “Oddsmaker’s Report” is called something else and every trader has it on their screen at all times. You will not have access to everything that gets posted to the group message board due to security of the book. However, the book has agreed to allow me to manually and/or have a robot copy and post any messages covering Group Buys, Late Buys, general sharp action, general market commentary, any major sharp/recreational bettor requests among a variety of other content. If the post comes from the book, the “Author” shown in the alert will read as “Book”, if it comes from me then it will list the author as “TSP”. Pretty simple and straight forward.

The Oddsmaker’s Report content should be self-explanatory, but I will add translations or edits to the alerts to clarify them when possible. If I am not around to translate, Oddsmaker’s Report alerts will just be issued. If you don’t understand what’s in the alert…just disregard and I will explain as soon as I am able to review and update. I hope you enjoy the content!

Return to TSP Live Analytics Dashboard

ANALYTIC NOTICE: Analytics are provided to give you access to information that you otherwise would not be able to obtain publicly.

Analytics ARE NOT DESIGNED NOR INTENDED to tell you what to bet. Analytics are provided to make you a more informed bettor when handicapping and making your wagering decisions.

If you are placing a wager simply because the wager shows up within an analytic, you are using the analytic incorrectly, outside its intended use, and opening yourself up to unnecessary risk.

While some analytics cover sharp action, it should be noted that sharp action can occur for many

ANALYTIC NOTICE: Analytics are provided to give you access to information that you otherwise would not be able to obtain publicly.

Analytics ARE NOT DESIGNED NOR INTENDED to tell you what to bet. Analytics are provided to make you a more informed bettor when handicapping and making your wagering decisions.

If you are placing a wager simply because the wager shows up within an analytic or alert, you are using the information incorrectly, outside its intended use, and opening yourself up to unnecessary risk.

While some analytics and information covers sharp action, it should be noted that sharp action can occur for many reasons beyond sharp money feeling a wager has value. Sharp bettors frequently wager for the purposes of middling, arbitrage, hedging, buyouts and more. Analytics do not discern why sharp money is betting, they just report that sharp money is betting. Just because something shows as “sharp” should not be construed as meaning the wager has value 100% of the time. A wager showing as sharp should also not be construed as a best bet, regardless of the reading within the analytic. The best sharp bettors have a win percentage of 54-56% (betting spreads), not the 60-100% that many touts and other unsavory sports gambling industry jerkoffs (technical term) may want to portray.

Good luck in your action!