TSP Education

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The articles below cover a variety of topics and strategies to enhance your betting knowledge.

For even more insights, be sure to check out:
📖 The Articles Page at TheSharpPlays.com
🎙 The Sharp Plays Podcast at GoFastAndWin.com

Every Go Fast and Win (GFAW) podcast episode dives into gambling education—and the best part? Each episode is 5 minutes or less!

🎧 Available on all major podcast platforms.

If there’s a topic I haven’t covered here but you think would be helpful, feel free to send me a message by clicking here!

Strategies & Education

  • The Patience Blueprint: How Pros Survive the Cold and Crush the Comeback June 25, 2025 12:45 pm EDT - 🧠 The Power of Patience in a Game Built on Pain If June taught you anything heading into football season, let it be this:👉 Patience is your fucking edge against the book. June wasn’t easy. It wasn’t smooth. We had to grind. Pass. Stay disciplined.But those who stuck it out…
  • The Sharp Plays: Technology, Operations & Pricing Updates (2025) June 1, 2025 2:22 pm EDT - Let The Sharp Plays Cook!Wolf, Tony, TSP, Hermes Elite A.I. Every year from May through August, The Sharp Plays undergoes core operational upgrades to prepare for the football season. Some updates were brainstormed as far back as September and fine-tuned over time. Others are inspired on the fly as this…
  • The Hardest Part of Professional Gambling May 25, 2025 2:00 pm EDT - Posted this as an intro to a TSP Live alert on Friday and it got solid reviews, so I am adding it to the education section on TSP.Live for future reference... 🎯 The Hardest Part of Professional Gambling The hardest part of this journey is not teaching people how to…
  • A TSP Year-End Mystery: “Why Did I Lose?” May 13, 2025 1:25 pm EDT - 🧠 A Year-End Mystery: "Why Did I Lose?" No matter how good the content does again for this year, I will undoubtedly hear from several people wondering how they managed to lose money during what will once again be a winning year for the TSP Portfolio and Hermes A.I. They…
  • TSP Insiders Updates – Part 1 May 3, 2025 11:38 am EDT - The following was originally posted in mid-April and is now being updated based on where things stand now and added to the 'Education' section on TSP.Live for future reference... TSP Insiders Purchases Moving to TSP.Live A new update is coming to streamline how you purchase selections from TSP Insiders, starting…
  • TSP Live Education: Hermes Elite A.I. – The Future of Betting Intelligence February 14, 2025 3:00 pm EST - Hermes The purpose of this article is to familiarize you with Hermes, an advanced betting analytics platform from The Sharp Plays (TSP). We'll explore its origin, current capabilities, rollout roadmap, and future evolution. Plus, we’ll touch on the real-world challenges and considerations that come with managing such a dynamic tool.…
  • TSP Live Education: WSJ Study on Gambler’s Optimism (Hint…It’s WAY Out of Whack!) February 11, 2025 3:46 pm EST - 📖 Great read from The Wall Street Journal that every bettor—novice or seasoned—should absorb. The article dives into a Stanford University study that reveals just how delusional most sports bettors are when it comes to their expected returns. Here's the blunt truth... 🔬 Key Findings from the Stanford Study 📉…
  • The First Steps On My Gambling Path… December 6, 2024 2:45 pm EST - I'm always asked how I got into sports betting. The first gambling memory I have goes to when I was very young. Based on the house we were living in at the time, I honestly had to be 6-8 years old. It's funny, the memories you retain from that age…
  • TSP Live Education: Return on Risk (ROR) versus Bankroll Return on Investment (ROI)…it’s a BIG Difference! November 21, 2024 1:35 pm EST - https://twitter.com/TheSharpPlays/status/1766233502167544124?s=20 One of the most consistently misunderstood concepts in gambling is the difference between Return on Investment (ROI) and Return on Risk (ROR). Recently, I mentioned that the TSP Portfolio had a +5.6% ROR for the football season, and right away I saw a bunch of people assume that means…
  • TSP Live Education: Playing Public Regression November 12, 2024 6:00 pm EST - Every now and then, the public goes on a tear in sports betting. While their losing streaks are typically longer—and far more brutal—sometimes, the public hits big. In fact, the last time we saw a public run of this magnitude was way back in 2005 during the NFL season. And…
  • What Qualifies You As a Professional Bettor? Here’s an Unbiased Assessment (ChatGPT) November 11, 2024 10:07 am EST - RAW PDF Files of ChatGPT Response: Page 1, Page 2 Since people may not want to believe me, I asked an independent source the question and got their response. My independent source was ChatGPT and I asked the following question: "what is the average ROI for a professional sports bettor".…
  • TSP Education – Hot & Cold Cycles October 25, 2024 3:00 pm EDT - As of this morning, the TSP Index has moved into an uptrend after 16 consecutive days of a downtrend. That's big—but before we celebrate, let’s put this shift into perspective and learn why understanding these trends is everything in professional betting. 🔁 Understanding the Natural Rhythm of the Market A…
  • Newbie Guide to TSP Live & Advantage Betting September 13, 2024 2:00 pm EDT - Welcome to the Action. Now Let’s Get You Up to Speed. 🗣️ “You Must Have New Customers...” Someone recently commented, “You must have a bunch of new customers in... you’re in rare form with your morning messages.” They were right. Every football season brings a flood of new bettors into…
  • TSP Education: “If You’re So Good at Betting, Why Sell Picks?” — Let’s Talk About It September 10, 2024 5:50 pm EDT - This is one of the most common critiques in the sports betting world: “If someone is so good at gambling, why not just bet their picks and make a fortune? Why sell them?” It’s a fair question…But the answer is rooted in simple economics and market reality—not conspiracy or grift.…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #3 – July 20th, Race #11 July 20, 2024 12:45 pm EDT - In the last two episodes of "Saratoga Handicapping" I dove int races in looking to find the value. However, what if you have a horse you absolutely know is going to win...but it is going to be a big chalk and likely not a value BUT YOU JUST HAVE TO…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #2 – July 18th, Race #5 July 18, 2024 12:12 pm EDT - As I told someone yesterday..."Hopefully the combination of articles [I am doing this month] will help put together a picture but yes, handicapping horses is an art and something people do for the love of it. If you don't have that passion for it...it's not worth the time because it…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #1 – July 17th, Race #7 July 17, 2024 1:22 pm EDT - I plan to do these race breakdowns a few times this month to provide insights into basic horse racing handicapping. Eventually developing them into an article for TheSharpPlays.com. IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND...HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING IS COMPLEX. Just look at a racing form and you will see all sorts of…
  • TSP Live Education – Sunday Night Baseball Fade June 16, 2024 9:35 am EDT - To save myself from repeating this every Sunday during baseball season, here’s a quick breakdown of one of the few public fade angles that actually works—and has for nearly 30 years. 🏝️ Where It Started My first role in sports betting was making Sunday Night Baseball markets for an offshore…
  • TSP Live Education: Counter Buys, In-Play, 2nd Half Wagers & MORE! March 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT - On March 14th, 2024, I released a wager in TSP Live on Xavier/UConn UNDER 149.5. Not long after, a counter buy hit on the OVER 149 and higher. That shift presented a prime example of how to handle market movement, adjust betting strategy in real time, and even walk away…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Edge Based on Straight Bet Win Percentage March 10, 2024 1:06 pm EDT - The first chart shows your chances of cashing the parlay size listed based on your straight bet win percentage. "SB Win %" stands for "Straight Bet Win Percentage". So, if you hit 50% of your straight bets, you have a 25% chance of cashing a two leg parlay. The second…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Performance & The Strategic Value of Round Robins February 28, 2024 2:00 pm EST - As of February 28th, 2024, the Go Fast and Win and TSP Live Degenerate Portfolios show that parlays have a combined ROI of +11.7% on 301 wagers. So much for parlays being a “sucker’s bet,” right? If you're unfamiliar with the portfolios or how they're tracked, visit:👉 TheSharpPlays.com/portfolio-performance/(Also linked under…
  • TSP Education: Patience is a Virtue & The TSP Index January 10, 2024 2:00 pm EST - One of the hardest concepts to get across to bettors is this: No matter how good you are, cold streaks are part of the game. You’re going to have periods where you couldn’t pick the quinella in a two-horse race. If you truly want to avoid losing, the solution is…
  • TSP Live Education: Must Win Scenarios – Player Incentives January 5, 2024 2:14 pm EST - As we close in on the end of the NFL season, bettors get obsessed with two major narratives: “Must-win” games for playoff contention Player incentives and contract bonuses Let’s unpack both—and more importantly, let’s talk about how books already know all this and adjust accordingly. 🚨 Must-Win ≠ Must-Cover Every…
  • TSP Live Education: Why Bet Exotics (Parlays & Teasers)? November 22, 2023 4:16 pm EST - ❄️ Parlays & Teasers During Cold Runs: A Strategic Approach Most people get the logic of using parlays and teasers during hot runs—the multiplier effect supercharges returns when you're hitting. But what about during cold streaks? Believe it or not, parlays and teasers have real utility during losing runs too—when…
  • TSP Live Education: What Is a Rollover & Why Use It? November 22, 2023 2:45 pm EST - Rollovers are a term I started using to describe a simple but powerful betting strategy:Taking the risk and profit from one wager and rolling it into another. It’s like a parlay’s cousin—offering leverage—but with the flexibility and control of a straight bet. 👉 Want the full breakdown?Read the full article:…
  • TSP Live Education: Using The Sharp Plays Index to Read the Betting Market November 22, 2023 11:34 am EST - (Originally published as two TSP Live Insider articles on 5/12/23 and 6/12/23) When it comes to sports betting, understanding what kind of market you’re in is half the battle. Are we in a heater? A slump? A grind? To help you answer that question, I want to introduce—or reintroduce—you to…
  • TSP Live Education: Do Sharps Bet Big Favorites? Absolutely. November 22, 2023 11:30 am EST - (Originally appeared in TSP Live Insider – June 27th) I hear it all the time... "Sharps don’t bet lines that high.""Sharps would never touch a -300 favorite." Let me be crystal clear:Both of those statements are completely false. There is no such thing as a line that’s “too high” for…
  • TSP Live Education: Using TSP Portfolio Parlay/Rollover Selections for Straight Bets November 22, 2023 11:28 am EST - Every football season brings in a wave of new faces to the TSP Live community. One of the most common questions I get:"What’s the best way to follow all the content?" The reality? There's no one-size-fits-all answer—but there is a strategy many veteran users swear by. It’s simple, selective, and…
  • TSP Live Education: Smart Parlay Strategy: Turning “Sucker Bets” Into Weapons November 22, 2023 11:26 am EST - Parlay strategy could honestly fill a full thesis—but who wants to read 80 pages of math and stats? 😴 So let’s cut through the clutter and hit the high points. 🚫 Why Most Sharps Avoid Parlays You won’t hear many sharp bettors talk about parlays. Why? Because they’re often seen…
  • TSP Live Education: Line Moves (Good & Bad) November 22, 2023 11:25 am EST - 🎯 Don’t Sweat the Line Moves So, you just placed a wager on Boston College -5 over Syracuse, and now the line has dropped to -4.What do you do? Of course—you panic. You assume sharp action slammed Syracuse, your wager is dead, and life as you know it is over.…

Good luck!!