TSP Education

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The collection of articles below covers a variety of topics and strategies. Be sure to also visit the “Articles” page at TheSharpPlays.com and The Sharp Plays’ podcast at GoFastAndWin.com for additional information! Every Go Fast and Win podcast episode discusses some topic of gambling education. The best part is every GFAW episode is typically 5 minutes or less! Podcast episodes are also available on every major podcast provider.

If there is a topic I do not discuss here, but you feel would be helpful, please submit it as a message to me by clicking here!

Strategies & Education

  • TSP Live Education: Playing Public Regression November 12, 2024 6:00 pm EST - The public has epic runs all the time; it's just that their losing runs tend to be longer and more epic than any of their winning runs. However, from time to time, the public gets a BIG ONE! The "big ones" do not happen often though. The last "big one"…
  • What Qualifies You As a Professional Bettor? Here’s an Unbiased Assessment (ChatGPT) November 11, 2024 10:07 am EST - RAW PDF Files of ChatGPT Response: Page 1, Page 2 Since people may not want to believe me, I asked an independent source the question and got their response. My independent source was ChatGPT and I asked the following question: "what is the average ROI for a professional sports bettor".…
  • TSP Live Memo – Legal Pad and KB Consensus November 1, 2024 10:30 am EDT - You may have noticed the TSP Legal Pad has been quieter in recent weeks. When it comes to KB Consensus, I tend to keep these off the tables until an hour or two before the game at most. The reason is not to screw you...and nothing has changed with the…
  • TSP Education – Hot & Cold Run Cycles October 25, 2024 3:00 pm EDT - The TSP Index (https://TheSharpPlays.com/the-sharp-plays-index/) just moved into an uptrend after 16 days of downtrend. The typical run within the Index (uptrend or downtrend) tends to last around 7-10 days with 75% of runs ending within 14 days. A consistent run in the Index lasting 20+ days is considered "long". So,…
  • TSP Education – Developing Your Wager Strategy September 23, 2024 5:43 pm EDT - Good evening, If you are a TSP Live veteran, you probably don't need to read this...although it might be worth the 8-10 minutes as it could help to tweak your wager strategy and performance. For newbies looking to create their own portfolio strategy, versus just following the TSP Portfolio...because I…
  • Newbie Guide to TSP Live & Advantage Betting September 13, 2024 2:00 pm EDT - You know, it's funny. Someone said to me recently that I must have a bunch of new customers in because I have been in rare form with my morning messages. Yes, as with any new football season a bunch of novices and rookies come out of the woodwork looking to…
  • It begins… August 27, 2024 6:00 pm EDT - We have arrived at the first full week of regular season football action! It is time to say it one more time... The season will be filled with some incredibly epic winning weeks...I cannot wait! Those weeks when everything you bet turns to gold and you have parlay tickets all…
  • 2024-25 Football Pricing for TSP Live & TSP Insiders August 23, 2024 8:00 pm EDT - In 2019, paid content was sold for $25 per selection...two selections per week...for a total monthly cost of $200 for 8 selections. In 2020, paid content went from two plays per week to daily content providing an arsenal of angles and information...all for only $150 per month! The content went…
  • TSP Education: 2024-25 Football Content & Strategy, TSP Insiders & More! August 21, 2024 6:00 pm EDT - I will have pricing for football season published tomorrow around this same time. So, keep an eye on the Telegram channel. Every year I start by saying the same thing...it's an exciting time, but for your own sake, have a realistic expectation of what is ahead this football season. There…
  • TSP Education: Why Professionals Sell Selections August 11, 2024 5:50 pm EDT - The comment comes up ALL THE TIME when it comes to the sale of sports selections... "If someone is so good at betting then why do they sell their picks? Why not just bet their selections and make a fortune?" My response...If someone is involved in gambling to make money,…
  • TSP Insiders Grand Opening! August 8, 2024 2:30 am EDT - The time has come! TSP Insiders (httsp://TSPInsiders.com) is going live for its Grand Opening! So now that TSP Insiders is officially open, what the hell happens next? First, you can expect more selections from Tony and The Wolf to be available moving forward. It does not mean they will each…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #3 – July 20th, Race #11 July 20, 2024 12:45 pm EDT - In the last two episodes of "Saratoga Handicapping" I dove int races in looking to find the value. However, what if you have a horse you absolutely know is going to win...but it is going to be a big chalk and likely not a value BUT YOU JUST HAVE TO…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #2 – July 18th, Race #5 July 18, 2024 12:12 pm EDT - As I told someone yesterday..."Hopefully the combination of articles [I am doing this month] will help put together a picture but yes, handicapping horses is an art and something people do for the love of it. If you don't have that passion for it...it's not worth the time because it…
  • Saratoga Handicapping #1 – July 17th, Race #7 July 17, 2024 1:22 pm EDT - I plan to do these race breakdowns a few times this month to provide insights into basic horse racing handicapping. Eventually developing them into an article for TheSharpPlays.com. IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND...HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING IS COMPLEX. Just look at a racing form and you will see all sorts of…
  • TSP Live Education – Sunday Night Baseball Fade June 16, 2024 9:35 am EDT - To avoid repeating myself every Sunday during the baseball season, I have created this brief article about the Sunday Night Baseball public fade angle. My first gig in sports betting was making Sunday Night Baseball markets for a book offshore. In doing that, I became intimately aware of the ins…
  • TSP Live Education: Counter Buys, In-Play, 2nd Half Wagers & MORE! March 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT - On the morning of March 14 (2024), I released a wager in TSP Live on Xavier/UConn UNDER 149.5 for the TSP Live Portfolio. Shortly after the release, a counter buy hit on the OVER 149 and above. Counter buys tend to be strong angles to bet...betting with the late money…
  • TSP Live Education: New TSP Live Subscribers & A Refresher for the Veterans March 12, 2024 3:36 pm EDT - March Madness has brought in a variety of new followers to The Sharp Plays and subscribers to TSP Live...and with it...a lot of the old questions are popping up. Should I bet all the sharp buys? Should I only wager on the Algorithm Selections? Are the TSP Live or GFAW…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Edge Based on Straight Bet Win Percentage March 10, 2024 1:06 pm EDT - The first chart shows your chances of cashing the parlay size listed based on your straight bet win percentage. "SB Win %" stands for "Straight Bet Win Percentage". So, if you hit 50% of your straight bets, you have a 25% chance of cashing a two leg parlay. The second…
  • TSP Live Education: Round Robin Usage February 28, 2024 2:00 pm EST - I posted a page which includes an in-depth breakdown of the performance of the Go Fast and Win and TSP Live Degenerate Portfolios. Not only do I breakdown the ROI's overall and for the current year, but I also list the total wagers and break the action down by category…
  • TSP Live Education: Archived Angles 2023 February 16, 2024 4:15 pm EST - Once the Super Bowl is over, I schedule website updates...along with doing some clerical work like archiving records from previous years or content that it no longer in use. Today, the following rows have been removed and archived from the "Sports Content Records" link at TheSharpPlays.com (click "Records & Logs"…
  • TSP Live Education: 2023-2024 Football Season Recap February 12, 2024 3:24 pm EST - Good afternoon! Another football season comes to an end! When I look back on this past season, I see a lot of frustrating times...how many juicy parlays died on the last leg...on Sunday or Monday Night Football?!? Fucking Cowboys! How many bad beats or bad finishes did we get to…
  • TSP Live Education: Season in Review & Plans Post-Football Content January 23, 2024 6:15 pm EST - I posted the records (see below) this past week regarding the performance of the TSP Live analytics tables for the 2023-24 football season. At the time of this writing, we have three more games to go (AFC Championship, NFC Championship, Super Bowl). Once those games conclude I will update this…
  • TSP Education: Patience is a Virtue & The TSP Index January 10, 2024 2:00 pm EST - One of the hardest things for me to get people to understand when it comes to gambling is...no matter how good you are...there are going to be periods of losses. You are going to have cold streaks and periods when you can't pick the quinella in a two horse race.…
  • TSP Live PSA: Annual Content Changes After Football January 6, 2024 3:14 pm EST - Good afternoon, Each year as football content transitions to non-football content, there are changes within TSP Live. The goal of the changes is to allow TSP Live to adapt to the unique betting strategies for non-football sports compared to football content. During football, information and content for the weekend can…
  • TSP Live Education: Must Win Scenarios – Player Incentives January 5, 2024 2:14 pm EST - As we approach the end of the NFL season, we begin to hear about the "must win" situations for teams to get into the playoffs along with many player incentives that come into play in the final week. Let's first discuss the "must win" situations. The problem for gamblers is…
  • TSP Live Education: Why ROI Matters Most December 11, 2023 2:00 pm EST - Return on Investment ("ROI") is the most important metric for betting performance of an angle, model, strategy, or other content. Whether it is sports or some other form of gambling like poker. Why? ROI let's you know the return for every $1 that you put in action on that content/strategy.…
  • TSP Live Education: The Ultimate Guide To Using The Sharp Plays Content December 5, 2023 6:05 pm EST - Time to read: 20-22 minutesThere are going to be more than just a few people who "don't have 20 minutes" to read the following (you don't have to read it right now). These folks are just too lazy. It is that same laziness that will prevent them from being successful…
  • TSP Live Education: Degenerate Action and Mr. Miyagi – Serious Bettors Only! November 28, 2023 5:35 pm EST - Back in January 1st, 2023 I launched the "Degenerate Club Report". The report has since evolved into the Legal Pad and TSP Live Tables which offer the same content. One of the features of the initial Degenerate Club Report, which has continued in table format, is the Degenerate Portfolio. I…
  • TSP Live Education: “What Should I Bet?” November 25, 2023 4:15 pm EST - Of all the questions that I get about TSP Live, wagering, etc., the above is the question I get asked all the time..."What Should I Bet?" While it is the most common question, it is also the hardest for me to answer because every bettor is different. I hear from…
  • TSP Live Education: Why Bet Exotics (Parlays & Teasers)? November 22, 2023 4:16 pm EST - I am going to discuss parlays and teasers more when it comes to using them during cold runs. I do use parlays and teasers during hot runs, but that's pretty easy to understand...when it's hot...parlays and teasers will provide nice returns. However, when it is cold, why would they be…
  • TSP Live Education: What Are Rollovers & Why Use Them? November 22, 2023 2:45 pm EST - Rollovers are a name I just began using when I referred to a wager where you take the risk and profit from one bet and roll it onto another one. It's basically the leverage of a parlay but with the freedom of a straight bet. For more details I have…
  • TSP Live Education: Utilizing The Sharp Plays Index November 22, 2023 11:34 am EST - Part I (originally published on 5/12/23 as a TSP Live Insider article) My discussion much of this week was about knowing what type of market you are in…and betting accordingly. To quickly recap, I stated there are three types of betting market environments. I discussed these three betting environments using…
  • TSP Live Education: That’s too Chalky to be a Value…isn’t it?!?! November 22, 2023 11:30 am EST - The below originally appeared as a TSP Live Insider article on June 27th... I hear it all the time…”sharps don’t bet lines that high”…”or sharps would never bet a -300.” Both of these statements are completely false. There is no such thing as a line being too high that sharp…
  • TSP Live Education: Using My Parlay/Rollover Selections for Straight Bets November 22, 2023 11:28 am EST - Every football season there are always new people to the content, and many are unsure the best way to follow. So, I thought I would share one strategy that many veteran TSP Live users go with. It's simple, it tends to provide only 2-3 selections each game day and it…
  • TSP Live Education: Parlay Strategy (Keying Plays, Round Robins, Tolerance) November 22, 2023 11:26 am EST - Parlay strategy could honestly be a thesis, but it would get very boring with math and stats. So, I will touch on a couple quick items on parlays. First, you won't hear a lot of sharp bettors use parlays. They will cite the "sucker bet" nature of the bet and…
  • TSP Live Education: Line Moves (Good & Bad) November 22, 2023 11:25 am EST - So, you just placed a wager on Boston College -5 over Syracuse and now the line is -4. What do you do? Of course the answer is you immediately panic that sharp action hit Syracuse and that your wager is dead...and with it your life is over! You call the…
  • TSP Live Education: Stay Calm & Just Win Money! October 9, 2023 9:07 am EDT - Originally published on October 9th, 2023 as a TSP Live Insider article... One of the topics I wanted to discuss is something I did differently this football season, which you probably noticed in recent weekends. On Saturday's and Sunday's I have not covered tennis, soccer, MLB, UFC, etc. much since…

Good luck!!